IT’s approximately 1 year, 4 months and a couple of days before 2027, the year for the much anticipated political showdown, in Nigeria .For some, it is a long, slow agonizing period before the D-Day. While others consider it inconceivably brief duration. In essence, 2027 seems far, yet so near.
Predictably, political actors had begun recalibrating and engaged in high-pitched realignments to outdo each other in this seemingly murky terrain politics.
The highpoint of all of these are intriguing stratagem, endless artifice and a dangerous race to outwit and crush any perceived political adversary both imaginary or real. After all, it was the German scholar and political thinker, Carl Schmitt, that sees “politics as fundamentally involving strategic intelligence and inherent danger through the distinction of friend and enemy”.
However, whether far or near before 2027, the political space is fully charged, the atmosphere filled with heightened anxiety, deliberate misinformation and calculated strategy to take out perceived enemies is on their menu. So far, gladiators from across political parties had indicated interest to run.
Frontline figures, who are not strangers to the turf had defiantly thrown their hat in the ring. Notable are, incumbent president, Bola Tinubu, of the APC, HE Atiku Abubakar, HE Peter Obi and others.
But, the purported, or rather anticipated entry of former president, Goodluck Ebele Jonathan, fondly called GEJ, into the 2027 race, is quiet consequential capable of reshaping the entire political history of the country. The prospect of a possible runoff is imminent, considering the clout and calibre of current various presidential hopefuls. The knotty issue of two thirds majority and securing 25% across each state would certainly play out.
Should GEJ, decide to run, a possible scenario is, he might pull the Ghana-Mahama gambit.Just like in Ghana, during former president Nana Akufo Addo, the vast majority of Nigerians are disillusioned with the Tinubu administration’s economic polices which spiked cost of living, further plummeting millions into avoidable pit of lack, and socioeconomic deprivation.
A Jonathan comeback, would have a broader implications for North -South presidential zoning arrangements. For instance, the PDP, recently zoned its presidential ticket to the South. Which is rational and politically expedient, given Nigeria’s complex regional and emotional kinship affiliations.
After Buhari’s 8 uninterrupted years, the South should rightly enjoy their slice of the presidential pie in peace. That of course should not restrict the presidency to the APC, Southwest, or Tinubu alone.
In recent weeks, the APC camp let loose their spin doctors, who are unleashing and churning out daily barrage aimed at undermining a possible Jonathan comeback. The playbook of these data boys, which are carefully packaged are to come in phases. First, create a needless buzz online, on the constitutionality of Jonathan seeking another term.
Second, take a direct jab, or hit at the entire Jonathan’s presidency, (2010-2015) exploring his many gaffes in policy implementation. Third, Jonathan must be portrayed as weakling, incapable of taking firm and critical national decision.
But on the contrary, a quick assessment of 3 significant polices of the Jonathan administration; Economy, Infrastructure and Electoral Reforms, punched a hole in the claim.
Jonathan significantly transformed Nigeria’s economy to the point that, in 2014, when our GDP was debased, we became the largest economy in Africa, surpassing Egypt and South Africa.
His economic policies were practical, rather than mere figures, indices and fancy-talk. Inflation was stable and food security guaranteed. The policy entrenched market stability which led to significant boost, thereby attracting significant foreign direct investment and improving revenue collection.
The Jonathan administration implemented significant electoral reforms, which deepened democracy and improved the country’s electoral process, culminating in the most credible elections held in 2011. He personified democracy and civility far more than his contemporaries.
His historic peaceful concession of defeat in 2015 was hailed globally as a strong example of democratic maturity and commitment to peace and stability, a trait hardly found in Africa.
In terms of Infrastructural development, the Jonathan administration revived Nigeria’s railway system, eg, (Abuja-Kaduna), massive road networks, and upgraded several airports.
Similarly, he established multiple new federal universities across the geopolitical zones. His unforgettable legacy, for me, is the establishment and reorganizing the Almajiri Education Program, which successive administration refused to sustain.
In area of security, the basis upon which he was voted out, (Boko Haram insurgency), especially the resentment in northern Nigeria, facts showed slow, but calculated efforts were madeby his administration in combating the challenge. Those that precede him, has not done any better either.
In reality though, assertions of Jonathan’s ineptitude are baseless. They’re simply part of a deeper grand scheme to stop Jonathan. If anything, it is an act of desperation.. It shows how jittery the establishment is.
Jonathan has the constitutional, moral, logical and legitimate right to run for president, in 2027. So, my take is, Dear President Jonathan, Run, do not run away, as doing so, will play right into the hands of those who hate progress of the country.
- Mohammed, a policy analyst is the Director Initiative for Concerned Citizens Against Drug Abuse and Community Awareness and can be reached via abdullahkidnyce@gmail.com.