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    Home - Of Tinubu, EFCC And The Osun Timing – By Jonathan Nda-Isaiah

    Of Tinubu, EFCC And The Osun Timing – By Jonathan Nda-Isaiah

    By Jonathan Nda-IsaiahAugust 8, 2026
    Jonathan

    ON Wednesday, August 5, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission walked into a bank in Osogbo with a letter and quietly strangled the Osun State Government’s statutory allocation account. Ten days to a governorship election. Signed by an assistant commander, citing the EFCC Act and the Money Laundering Act, the letter told First Bank to place the account on “Post No Debit.” No fanfare, no press conference, just a letter to a bank.

    ABDULSAMAD

    By Thursday, the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria was writing his own letter, a statehouse statement no less, ordering the same commission to go and vacate whatever order it eventually got and drop the matter entirely.

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    Governor Ademola Adeleke wasted no time. He told his Attorney-General to head to court, accused the EFCC of trying to paralyse his government’s operations, and insisted the account, which is reportedly used to pay civil servants’ salaries, has nothing to do with any looting. The EFCC, for its part, said it was simply protecting public funds and that N11 billion does not investigate itself.

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    Mind you, that is not a small thing. A sitting president publicly overruling his own anti-graft agency, in writing, days to an election, is not something we see often in this country. My first reaction was admiration. My second was suspicion. Both are correct.

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    Let’s start with what the EFCC says it found. According to the commission, it has been investigating Osun’s handling of about N11 billion in Ecology Funds, Intervention Funds and FAAC allocations since March 2026. Officials, including the Accountant-General, had already sat for interviews. Then, the commission says, between August 2 and August 5, huge sums began moving out of government accounts into “suspicious” corporate entities, and that movement, not the underlying probe, is what triggered the freeze. If that timeline is accurate, the EFCC has a point. An agency that watches money disappear from a government account under investigation and does nothing is an agency not worth funding.

    But here is where it gets interesting. Adeleke, now flying the flag of the Accord Party after dumping the PDP in December, had publicly warned days earlier that the EFCC was preparing to freeze his government’s accounts and those of his officials. When the freeze landed almost immediately after, of course it looked like confirmation of a plot rather than coincidence. Legal experts have also pointed out that a Post No Debit order of this kind ordinarily lapses after 72 hours without judicial backing, which is why the commission apparently went to get a court order to sustain it. That detail matters. It tells you the EFCC itself knew the letter alone would not hold, and that a court somewhere had to be persuaded, on paper, that Osun’s account genuinely posed a flight risk to public funds.

    To be sure, this would not be the first time a Nigerian state government has been accused of moving public money around suspiciously close to an election. Campaigns cost money, and incumbents everywhere in this country have a well-documented habit of reaching into government coffers when the ballot box beckons. If the EFCC’s timeline is accurate, that N11 billion did not move itself into private corporate accounts. Somebody signed those transfers.

    In Nigeria, timing is never innocent. You do not need a conspiracy theory to notice that an account used to pay workers’ salaries got frozen eleven days before an election in which the sitting governor, now facing a resurgent APC candidate in Bola Oyebamiji, is fighting for his political survival. Whether the EFCC intended it as interference or not, the optics did the damage on their own.

    Now to the President’s statement, and this is the part that genuinely impressed me. Tinubu did not hide behind the usual “I have no hand in this” silence that has become standard practice for Aso Rock. He came out and said plainly that every action by a federal agency is credited to him whether he authorised it or not, that he had not directed the EFCC, and that he was intervening precisely because the timing gave the impression of an incumbent using state machinery against an opponent days to a poll. That is a rare admission of political reality from a Nigerian president, and I will give credit where it is due.

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    Compare this with how things have historically played out. Recall the detention of Adams Oshiomhole by the DSS some years back. Nobody in Aso Rock came out to publicly own or disown that action. The agency acted, the presidency stayed silent, and Nigerians were left to guess who gave the order. Tinubu, whatever else you think of him, has now set a different precedent: own the optics, correct the optics, put it in writing, sign your name to it.

    Now for the part that should worry all of us. This is exactly the pattern I have flagged before on this page: government officials and agencies dropping the president’s name, real or implied, to carry out actions that serve narrow interests, then hiding behind “state institution acting independently” when the backlash comes. Sometimes the president genuinely did not order it. Sometimes he did and only distances himself when the political cost becomes clear. The average Nigerian has no way of telling the difference, and that uncertainty is itself a governance failure.

    An EFCC that can freeze a state government’s salary account eleven days to an election, without the presidency knowing in advance, is either an agency operating with troubling independence from oversight, or a presidency that is not paying attention. Neither answer is comfortable.
    There is also a fairness question the EFCC needs to answer honestly. If the movement of N11 billion into suspicious accounts really started on August 2, why did the commission not simply approach a court quietly for an ex parte order the way these things are normally done, instead of firing off a letter to a bank first? The state government’s own Attorney-General has already questioned whether the EFCC even has the constitutional power to freeze a state government’s statutory allocation account in the first place, since that account, in theory, belongs to the people of Osun and not to Governor Adeleke personally.

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    That is a legitimate legal question that should be settled by the courts on the merits, not by a presidential letter asking the agency to withdraw and go quiet.
    And that is my real problem with the resolution. Tinubu’s intervention, however well-intentioned, has now handed Adeleke exactly what every embattled Nigerian politician craves before an election: a persecution narrative, gift-wrapped by the presidency itself. Adeleke can now campaign on the story that the federal government tried to strangle his administration and the President himself had to step in and stop it. Win or lose on August 15, that narrative will outlive the election. The EFCC, for its part, now looks either reckless for moving without proper judicial cover, or politically naive for moving at the worst possible time, or both. Nobody comes out of this looking competent.

    So what should actually happen? First, the EFCC should be made to publish, not whisper, the full evidential basis for the freeze, the account movements, the dates, the receiving entities, so Nigerians can judge the merits independently of the election calendar. Second, there needs to be a standing rule, ideally written into the EFCC’s operational guidelines, that any asset-freezing action against a sitting state government within 30 days of an election in that state requires prior sign-off from a panel outside the commission’s own chain of command, precisely to prevent exactly this kind of controversy. Third, the presidency should stop being the last line of defence against its own agencies’ bad timing. If Tinubu genuinely did not know about this in advance, that is itself a coordination failure that structures, not statements, should fix going forward.

    None of this excuses actual looting, if looting is what happened. Osun’s Attorney-General owes the public a direct answer on those fund movements too, not just constitutional objections about the EFCC’s powers. Two wrongs, an overreaching agency and a state government that cannot account for public money, do not make a right, and Nigerians deserve better than a contest between competing grievances.

    We have been here before with different names and different states. Until Nigeria builds an anti-corruption architecture that runs on fixed rules rather than the discretion of whoever happens to be sitting in Aso Rock or Wuse Zone 3, every freeze, every raid, every letter to a bank will keep being read through the lens of politics rather than the lens of law. That is the tragedy of it. The EFCC may well be right on the facts. Nobody will believe them, because of when they chose to act.

    • Nda-Isaiah is a political analyst based in Abuja and can be reached on jonesdryx@gmail.com. His syndicated column appears on News Point Nigeria newspaper on Saturday.

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